Well they tried... as they say over at Minyanville.com, the cancer just might be larger than the system - this is what seems to be happening. As we wrote Tuesday [S&P 500 Looks Ready to Bow Out] we were anticipating this and unlike last Thursday we would actually not be anticipating any turnaround and in fact be riding this leg down...I come from the school that the more times you test a le...
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The TIPs say deflation is coming and may stay around for a bit: Yet, if you believe the yields on US Treasury inflation protected bonds, or Tips, we shall have a 2.2 per cent fall in prices in 2009, a 2.5 per cent decline in 2010 and only flat prices in 2011. If that turns out to be true, the real interest rate burden on even the highest-rated borrowers will be extremely hard to bear.
If you are flummoxed by the relationship between pre-market moves and market action when the market opens, then you are not alone.The movement in the e-mini futures has been volatile in the last half hour of trading, after the market closes and before the market opens. Given the lack of liquidity in the equity markets right now, it does not take a huge amount of trading in the e-minis to move t...
Those of you who have seen the chart below on my blog over the last year-and-a-half might have already guessed what it looks like after yesterday's dramatic plunge in the consumer price index - it's now screaming DEFLATION.Not that there's anyreal significance to the fact that it's screaming deflation.As noted here, in a world full of fiat money, "deflation" is nothing more than an am...
This 2 part series will cover recent market developments about Berkshire Hathaway, points to a strategy on how you may benefit more on the same trades he did recently and an option trading strategy that probably Berkshire uses for maximizing it returns on the underlying they find worth investing. Don’t forget to read the big picture of US stock markets. Markets are behaving pretty much th...
For those of you who have been following this blog, you know where I stand on the proposed aid package for US automakers (see Preventing Moral Hazard in the Auto Industry for background). I am not opposed to aid for General Motors (GM) and Ford (F), provided that aid comes with strict terms: A moratorium on acquisitions (whether with Chrysler, or otherwise) A rationalization of operations - a r...
First, I want to let you know that I'm pleased how popular the "live chat" feature is, but rest assured, if someone claims to be me, it isn't. I don't have time to shave (or, usually, even get dressed) in my life. God knows I don't have time to hang out in chat. So if someone's there claiming to be me, it isn't. Promise. (Or if it really is me, you will be dazzled at my virtually impossible typ...
Cheer up. Your losses can’t be as big as Uncle Warren’s.
Apologies for a late medical meeting, call night, Internet problems, and bad market rising.Another day, another beating for much of Wall Street.Can we distill this to a few charts?Thirty year bond yield. Deflation incarnate._________________________________________________________SP500...bombs away?_________________________________________________________Mamis-Meisler Breadth oscillator...10 pe...
In early trade, AEM and ABX, my two gold watch list stocks rose to the top of the % gainers list on a weaker dollar. I was waiting for AEM to retrace or form some NRIBs at the base of resistance (blue line). The dollar ended up being a fade and gold pulled back in. However, I noticed that AEM was halted pending news. Briefing.com reported that AEM announced a $252 mln private placement; or 8 ml...